Best Source for COVID Science:
twitter.com/AlexBerenson
1918 Spanish Flu
United States
20% CFR / 10 (conservative) = 2% IFR
The 1918 Spanish Flu killed 2% of those it infected
675,000 Americans died / 103,270,000 population =
0.65% of total US population died from the Spanish Flu
2020 U.S. population * 0.65% dead =
2,149,629 would be dead if 2020 population is used.
Woodrow Wilson was president from 1913 to 1920, but there is NO historic record of Wilson publicly mentioning the Spanish flu. Few (if any) politicians mentioned the 1918 Spanish Flu.
Main advances in combating disease over the past 100 years have been:
-better food
-clean drinking water
-improved sanitation
-better medical
Current COVID-19 View:
As of 7/16
Texas Overall
3,660 deaths / 305,854 cases=
1.20% CFR / 10 (conservative) = 0.12% IFR
As of 7/16
U.S. Overall
138,358 U.S. deaths / 3,576,157 confirmed=
3.9% CFR / 10 (conservative) = 0.39% IFR
138,358 U.S. deaths / 331,074,598 population=
0.042% deaths of total population
42.29 U.S. deaths per 100,000 people
A total of 9,000 Americans under 55 have died of COVID-19 this year
(far fewer than car accidents or overdoses)
If an American under 50 years old gets COVID-19, the IFR is 0.0325%
2009-2016
United States
President Obama was president for 8 years.
During his terms over 20 million Americans died.
Where was the media hysteria for over 20 million dead Americans?
Historical View of Outbreaks – United States
smallpox
1633-1634 America
70% of the Native Americans died
smallpox
In 1721, Boston
850 deaths / 6000 cases = 14% CFR
850 deaths / 11,000 population = 7.8% of total population died
yellow fever
1793 Philadelphia
10% of the city’s population died
cholera
1832 large U.S. cities
between 5% and 10% of the total population died
cholera
1849 San Antonio
500 death / 3500 total population = 14% of total population died
yellow fever
1853 Galveston
523 deaths / 5000 total population = 10.5% of total population died
cholera
1854 Chicago
3,500 deaths = 5.5% of the total population died
various diseases
early 1890s Chicago
10,000–12,000 children under five died every year
typhoid
1891 Chicago
Death rate was 174 per 100,000 people